Budget 2020 - A Detailed Analysis of the Expenditure side

Security of the Pradhan Sevak Vs Janta

PM Security: - Before December 2019, Special protection Group ( SPG) was responsible for the security of Sitting PM, Former PM and their Families security. Now SPG solely responsible for the only sitting PM and his family.

·        Budget 2019:- 535 Cr.

·        Revised 2019:- 540 Cr.

·        Budget 2020:-  592 Cr

Food Security of the Garib Janata:-  India has slipped to 102 positions in the Global Hunger Index 2019 of 117 countries, slipping from its 2018 position of 95.

·        Budget 2019 :- 1,84,200 Cr.

·        Revised 2019:- 1,08,000 Cr.

·        Budget 2020 :-  1,15,000 Cr

Food Security of Janta:- Fortification of Rice and its Distribution under Public Distribution System

·        Budget 2019:-  42Cr.

·        Revised 2019:- 01 Cr.

Women Security:- Scheme One-stop centre envisaged to provide temporary accommodation, maintenance and rehabilitative services to women and girls rendered homeless due to family discord, crime, violence, mental stress, social ostracism or are being forced into prostitution and are in mortal danger.

·        Budget 2019:- 274 Cr.

·        Revised 2019:- 204 Cr.

There is 40% cut in the budget of the food security of the Janta but 10% hike in the Security of the PM.

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National infrastructure pipeline - 100 Lakh crore

Smt Sitaram in 1 feb 2020 Budget speech:-

Paragraph  49:-

Hon’ble Speaker, Sir, in his Independence Day speech 2019, Prime Minister had highlighted that ` 100 lakh crore would be invested on infrastructure over the next 5 years. As a follow-up measure, I had launched the National Infrastructure Pipeline on 31st December 2019 of ` 103 lakh crore. It consists of more than 6500 projects across sectors and are classified as per their size and stage of development.

Paragraph 57:-

I propose to provide about ` 1.70 lakh crore for transport Infrastructure in 2020-21.

Analysis:-

• As per the Document quoted by the Finance Minister ( National infra pipeline), Government itself says that they will spend Rs. 2.07 lakhh crore for the transport infra in the year 2020-21 but Finance minister in her speech allocates only 1.7 lakh crore for the transport infra.
  ( 2.07 Lakh crore = 0.81 for road, 1.15 for rail, 0.06 for the port and 0.05 for the airports)
  
  
• Document on the National Infra pipeline released on 31 December 2019 and Budget on the 1st Feb. In these 30 days, the Government reduced its transport infra budget by the 37,000 Cr.

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Analysis of the Schemes which is named on PM

Pradhan Mantri Karam Yogi Maandhan:- Social Security scheme for the retail traders & small shopkeepers with an annual turnover of less than Rs.1.5 crore

·        Budget 2019:- 750 Cr

·        Revised 2019:- 160 Cr

Pradhan Mantri Kisan Man Dhan Yojana:- Pension scheme for the farmers.

·        Budget 2019:- 900 Cr

·        Revised 2019:- 200 Cr.

The Pradhan Mantri Annadata Aay Sanrakshan Abhiyan :- Scheme to double the income of the farmers by providing the MSP.

·        Budget 2019:- 1500 Cr.

·        Revised 2019:- 321 Cr.

Pradhan Mantri Rozgar Protsahan Yojana :- To encourage employment.

·        Budget 2019 :- 4500 Cr.

·        Revised 2019:- 3400 Cr.

Pradhan Mantri Paridhan Rojgar Protsahan Yojna :- To encourage employment in textile.

·        Budget 2019 :- 5 lakh

·        Budget 2020 :0 Rupee

Pradhan Mantri Shram Yogi Maandhan:- Scheme is meant for old-age protection and social security of unorganised workers

·        Budget 2019 :- 500 Cr

·        Revised 2019 :- 408 Cr.

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Tales of  two India 

Secretariat of the Ministry of Parliamentary affairs deal with the Member of Parliament.

·        Budget 2019:- 19 Cr

·        Revised 2019:- 42 Cr

·        Spend 300% more than the allotment.

Secretariat of the  Ministry of the Panchayati Raj deals with Local Governance.

·        Budget 2019:- 31 Cr

·        Revised 2019:- 28 Cr

·        Reduction in 10% of the allotment.

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Department of the Fisheries 

Sri Piyush Goyal on the 1 Feb 2019 Budget speech:-

Paragraph 30:-

India is the second largest fish producing nation in the world accounting for 6.3% of global production, registering an average annual growth of more than 7% in recent years. The sector provides livelihood to about 1.45 crore people at the primary level. To provide sustained and focused attention towards the development of this sector, our Government has decided to create a separate Department of Fisheries.

Smt Sitaram in 1 Feb 2020 Speech:-

Paragraph 23(15)

Youth in coastal areas benefit through fish processing and marketing. By 2022-23, I propose raising fish production to 200 lakh tonnes. Growing of algae, sea-weed and cage Culture will also be promoted.  Our government will involve youth in fishery extension through 3477 SagarMitras and 500 Fish Farmer Producer Organisations. We hope to raise fishery exports to ` 1 lakh crore by 2024-25.

Budget Figures 2020 :-

·        Total Budget of the Department Is just Rs. 804 Cr.

·        Revised Estimate is even lower - 700 Cr.

·     Just Remember that we spend Rs.600 Cr. only on security of the PM and Rs.700 Cr. for the Department of fisheries on which lives of the millions depend.

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PM-AASHA to Double Farmer income 

Late Sri Arun Jaitely - 2018 Budget speech

Paragraph 12 -

For this, it is essential that if price of the agriculture produce market is less than MSP, then in that case Government should purchase either at MSP or work in a manner to provide MSP for the farmers through some other mechanism.

PM on 3/09/2018 says -

The Pradhan Mantri Annadata Aay Sanrakshan Abhiyan (PM-AASHA), approved by the Union Cabinet, will empower farmers and strengthen the Agriculture sector.(  PM-AASHA is an umbrella scheme aimed at ensuring remunerative prices to the farmers for their produce.)

Budget 2020 Figures:-

·        Budget allocation 2019 - 1500 Cr.

·        Revised Budget 2019   - 321Cr.

·        Spend Less than 25% in the Scheme which envisaged to double the income of the farmer.

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Rashtriya Gokul Mission 

Sri Piyush Goayal on the 1 Feb 2019 Budget speech:-

Paragraph 29 -

Animal Husbandry and Fisheries sector also need considerable support. I have increased the allocation for Rashtriya Gokul Mission to `750 crores in the current year itself.

Budget 2020 figures:-

·        Budget 2019- 302 Cr.

·        Revised 2019 - 270 Cr.

·        Budget 2020- 310 Cr.

·    ( Rs 750 Cr. was the spending of the year 2018, He actually reduced the budget to half  ( Rs.302 Cr) for the year of Budget he was proposing)

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PM KUSUM - For solar pumps to Farmers

Smt Sitaram in July 2019 Budget speech

Paragraph 48:-

We will support private entrepreneurship in driving value-addition to farmers’ produce from the field and for those from allied activities, like Bamboo and timber from the hedges and for generating renewable energy. Annadata can also be Urjadata. ( PM Kususm shceme already passed by the cabinet in Feb 2019, that means Before she is speaking about it in this budget speech)

Smt Sitaram in 1 feb 2020 Budget speech:-

Paragraph 23(3)

In the Budget speech of July 2019, I had stated that “annadata” can be “urjadata” too. The PM-KUSUM scheme removed farmers’ dependence on diesel and kerosene and linked pump sets to solar energy. Now, I propose to expand the scheme to provide 20 lakh farmers for setting up stand-alone solar pumps; further we shall also help another 15 lakh farmers solarise their grid-connected pump sets.

Budget 2020 Figures and Update:-

·        Cabinet Committee on Economy headed by PM approved scheme on 19 feb 2019.

·        Budget 2019 - O

·        Budget 2020- 1000 Cr. (only!)

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Bharatnet 

Smt Sitaram 1 Feb 2020 Speech:-

Paragraph 62 (2).

Our vision is that all “public institutions” at Gram Panchayat level such as Anganwadis, health and wellness centres, government schools, PDS outlets, post offices and police stations will be provided with digital connectivity. So, Fibre to the Home (FTTH) connections through Bharatnet will link 100,000 gram panchayats this year.

It is proposed to provide ` 6000 crore to Bharatnet programme in 2020-21.

Budget 2020 Figures:-

·        Budget 2019 :- 6000Cr

·        Revised 2019:- 2000 Cr.

·        Budget 2020 :- 60000Cr.

·    In year 2019, She proposed Rs.6000 Cr and spend only 33% of it, then why she categorically said that She is providing Rs.6000 Cr for the Bharat net in 2020 Budget. What is Guarantee that government will spend it  as they did not spend in last the year even though promised.

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Jal Shakti Abhiyan 

Smt Sitaram in July 2019 Budget speech:-

Paragraph 52

The Government has identified 1592 Blocks which are critical and overexploited, spread across 256 District for the Jal Shakti Abhiyan.

Smt Sitaram in 1 feb 2020 Budget speech :-

Paragraph 23(2)

Our government is proposing comprehensive measures for one hundred water-stressed districts.

Smt Sitaram in 1 feb 2020 Budget speech :-

Paragraph - 30

Aiming to provide piped water supply to all households, Prime Minister announced from the Red Fort the Jal Jeevan Mission. Our government has approved `3.60 lakh crore for this Mission.

Budget 2020 Figures:-

·   Provide 11,000 Cr in Budget. That mean will take nearly 30 yeats to provide 3.6 lakh crore for Jal Jeevan. How can she quite sure that Modi's government will be in power for next 30 years?

·      Furthermore, Spend Rs.10,000 Cr in Current budget year. Out of 10,000 cr., 7700 Cr. comes from CIRF which originally mean to construct and maintain road.

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Atal Bhujal Yojna 

On the Birth anniversary of former Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee, Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi launched Atal Bhujal Yojana (ATAL JAL) ( 25 December 2019)

he scheme has a total outlay of Rs.6000 crore and is to be implemented over a period of 5 years (2020-21 to 2024-25). Out of the total outlay of Rs. 6000 crore to be implemented over a period of 5 years (2020-21 to 2024-25), 50% shall be in the form of World Bank loan, and be repaid by the Central Government. The remaining 50% shall be through Central Assistance from regular budgetary support.

Budget 2020 Figures:-

·        Budget 2020 :- 200 Cr.

·      As per the announcement, Government supposes to spend Rs. 600 Cr in the year 2020 ( 3000/5).

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Ministry of Development of North Eastern Region

Smt Sitaram 1 Feb 2020 Speech:-

Paragraph 88 :-

North Eastern region has a very high priority in Government’s Developmental agenda

Budget 2020 Figures :- ( Total Budget of the Ministry of Development of North Eastern Region)

·        2019 :- 3000 Cr.

·        Revised 2019 :- 2570 Cr

·        13% cut in the Budget which is "Very High" Priority for the Government.

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World Class University 

PM Modi at the Ceneenary function of the Patana University:- ( 14 october 2017)

We are taking a step forward. We will provide assistance of Rs 10,000 crore to ten private universities and an equal number of government ones for a period of five years. All these universities have to do is to demonstrate their potential to become world-class,

Smt Sitaram in July 20119 Budget speech:-

Paragraph 63 :-

An amount of 400 crore has been provided under the head, “World Class Institutions”, for FY 2019-20, more than three times the revised estimates for the previous year. India has the potential to become a hub of higher education.

Budget 2020 Figures:-

·        Budget 2018 -  129 Cr.

·        Budget 2019 - 400 Cr

·        Revised 2019 - 325 Cr

·        Budget 2020 - 500 Cr

·  As per the announcement of the PM, Government suppose to provide Rs.2000 Cr per year. But Its has been 3 years and Government not spent Even Rs.1000 Cr.

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New Education Policy - Tarikh pe Tarikh

Smt Sitaram in July 2019 Budget speech:-

Paragraph  60 -

The government will bring in a New National Education Policy to transform India’s higher education system to one of the global best education systems.

Smt Sitaram in 1 feb 2020 Budget speech :-

Paragraph 31 -

The New Education Policy will be announced soon.

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Study in India 

Smt Sitaram in July 2019 Budget speech:-

Paragraph 63 :-

I, therefore, propose to start a the programme, ‘Study in India’, that will focus on bringing foreign students to study in our higher educational institutions.

Smt Sitaram in 1 Feb 2020 Budget speech:-

India should be a preferred destination for higher education. Hence, under its “Study in India” programme, Ind-SAT is proposed to be held in Asian and African countries. It shall be used for benchmarking foreign candidates who receive scholarships for studying in Indian higher education centres.

Budget 2020 Figures :-

·        Budget 2019 - 65 Cr.

·        Revised 2019- 32 Cr.

·       A scheme which got place in two consecutive budget speech of the finance minister spends only 50% of the allocated Money.

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Gram Swaraj Abhiyan in 150th Birth Anniversary of the Gandhiji

April 2018 - PM launches Rashtriya Gram Swaraj Abhiyan; unveils roadmap for overall development of tribals.

PM said that - Mahatma Gandhi always highlighted the importance of villages and spoke about 'Gram Swaraj':

Budget 2020 Figures for Rashtriya Gram Swaraj Abhiyan :-

·        Budget 2019  :- 821 Cr

·        Revised 2019 :- 465 Cr

·        50% cut in the Budget of the Scheme of the Gram swaraj in the year when we are celebrating 150th Birth Anniversary of the Gandhiji.

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PM Matrutva Vandana Yojna, A scheme for the Pregnant women 

Sri Piyush Goayal on the 1 Feb 2019 Budget speech:-

Parapgrah 40

Amongst many measures, benefits of Maternity leave of 26 weeks and Pradhan Mantri Matru Vandana Yojana for pregnant women have provided financial support to women while empowering them to participate in work.

Budget 2020 Figures:-

·        Budget 2019 allocation - 2500 Cr.

·        Revised Budget 2019 - 2300 Cr.

·      Rs.200 Cr. cut is no less amount for the welfare of the pregnant women. Due to this cut, Nearly 4 lakh pregnant women might not get benefit.

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UDAN - New Airports and Airroutes

Sri Piyush Goyal 1 Feb 2019

Paragraph 50

Because of 'UDAAN Scheme', today an ordinary citizen is also travelling by air. The number of operational airports has crossed 100 with the commissioning of the Pakyong airport in Sikkim. Domestic.

Progress report of the Pakyoung airport :- ( India today)

The airport hasn’t seen a flight take off since June after SpiceJet stopped its flights from Kolkata, citing operational constraints’.

Inaugurated by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in September 2018 under the UDAN regional connectivity scheme (RCS), Pakyong, being a VFR (visual flight rules) airport, was flagged off without the mandatory instrumental landing facilities. This has become its bane, with the inclement weather conditions in the hills. A senior government official, refusing to be quoted, asks, What was the reason to rush it through? He also provides the answer The 2019 general election and the Northeast vote bank.

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Predicting the Future of the Kisan Rail

Smt Sitaram in July 2019 Budget speech:-

Paragraph 49 :-

Fishing and fishermen communities are closely aligned with farming and are crucial to rural India. Through a focused Scheme – the Pradhan Mantri Matsya Sampada Yojana (PMMSY) – the Department of Fisheries will establish a robust fisheries management framework. This will address critical gaps in the value chain, including infrastructure, modernization, traceability, production, productivity, post-harvest management, and quality control.

Smt Nirmala Sitaram on 1 feb 2020 Budget speech :-

Paragraph 23(7)

 To build a seamless national cold supply chain for perishables, inclusive of milk, meat and fish, the Indian Railways will set up a “Kisan Rail” – through PPP arrangements. There shall be refrigerated coaches in Express and Freight trains as well.

(Observe the The similarity in the language of both speech)

Budget 2020 figure:-                        

·        No Mention about the Pradhan Mantri Matsya Sampada Yojana (PMMSY) in the demand 39 of the Department of the Fishery budget

·        Now think what happen with Kisan Rail in Budget 2019.

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Integrated farming systems in rainfed areas

Smt Sitaram in 1 Feb 2020 Budget speech:-

Paragraph 23(10)

Integrated farming systems in rainfed areas shall be expanded. Multi-tier cropping, bee-keeping, solar pumps, solar energy production in non-cropping season will be added.

Budget 2020 Figures :-

·        Budget Allocation 2019- 250 Cr.

·        Revised Estimate 2019 - 146 Cr.

·        40% cut in the Budget of the scheme about which FM gave mention in her budget speech.

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 ASPIRE - Rural Business 

Smt Sitaram in July 2019 Budget speech:-

Paragraph 47 :-

T0 improve the technology of such industries, the Scheme for Promotion of Innovation, Rural Industry and Entrepreneurship’ (ASPIRE) has been consolidated for setting up of Livelihood Business Incubators (LBIs) and Technology Business Incubators (TBIs). The Scheme contemplates to set up 80 Livelihood Business Incubators (LBIs) and 20 Technology Business Incubators (TBIs) in 2019-20 to develop 75,000 skilled entrepreneurs in agro-rural industry sectors.

Budget 2020 Figures:-

·        Budget Allocation 2019- 50 Cr.

·        Revised Estimate 2019 - 10 Cr.

·      Finance minister spoke 6 lines about a scheme in her budget speech and allocate just 50 Cr. to it. Furthermore, spend only 20% of it.

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Rashtriya Kamdhenu Aayog

Sri Piyush Goayal on the 1 Feb 2019 Budget speech :-

Paragraph 29 -

I announce setting up of "Rashtriya Kamdhenu Aayog" to upscale sustainable genetic up-gradation of cow resources and to enhance production and productivity of cows. The Aayog will also look after effective implementation of laws and welfare schemes for cows.

7th February 2019 -

The Union Cabinet has approved the proposal for the establishment of Rashtriya Kamdhenu Aayog for conservation, protection and development of cows and their progeny. 

Budget 2020 :-

·   No entry of the Rastirya Kamdhenu Aayog in the DEMAND NO. 40 Departments of Animal Husbandry and Dairying.

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22,000 rural haats

Late Sri Arun Jaitely - 2018 Budget speech

Paragraph 17 :-

More than 86% of our farmers are small and marginal. They are not always in a position to directly transact at APMCs and other wholesale markets. We will develop and upgrade existing 22,000 rural haats into Gramin Agricultural Markets (GrAMs).

An Agri-Market Infrastructure Fund with a corpus of `2000 crore will be set up for developing and upgrading agricultural marketing infrastructure in the 22000 Grameen Agricultural Markets (GrAMs) and 585 APMCs.

·        Do not find Mention of fund for this in Budget 2020 Document.

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 Operation Greens 

Late Sri Arun Jaitely - 2018 Budget speech

Paragraph 25 :-

Tomato, onion and potato are basic vegetables consumed throughout the year. However, seasonal and regional production of these perishable commodities pose a challenge in connecting farmers and consumers in a manner that satisfies both. My Government proposes to launch an ‘‘Operation Greens’’ on the lines of ‘‘Operation Flood’’. ‘‘Operation Greens’’ shall promote Farmer Producers Organizations (FPOs), agri-logistics, processing facilities and professional management. I propose to allocate a sum of `500 crore for this purpose.

Budget 2020 Figures:-

·        It has been two years but do not find any mention regarding the allocation in 2020 Budget expenditure document.

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Everything is on PPP based on 2020 Budget. Here is list

• Agriculture product warehouses at the block/taluka level.

• To build a the seamless national cold supply chain for perishables,  inclusive of milk, meat and fish, the Indian Railways will set up a “Kisan Rail”  through PPP arrangements.

• It is proposed to set up Viability Gap funding window for setting up hospitals in the PPP model.

• It is proposed to develop five new smart cities in collaboration with States in PPP mode.

• Four station re-development projects and operation of 150  passenger trains would be done through PPP mode.

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Other Key Major Highlight to Budget

• For the first time since independence, Govt auctioned it's National highways. By doing so, Govt Generated Rs.10, 000 Cr last Year. Finance minister also proposed to raised anther Rs.10, 000Cr. Next year. ( Entry 2.7 of the Demand of the grant Ministry of Road Transport and Highways)

• PM Modi said that MGNREGA is the Monument of the failure. But his government spend Rs.11, 000 Cr. More than allocated last year. The simple reason for that is that 2019 was a budget year and Govt tried to reach out to rural people directly by MGNREGA.

• PM Kisan was the Headline of the previous Budget. The government allocated Rs.75,000 Cr. For that but spend only 54,000Cr.